Society · Protocols

IntentGap

Analyzing intent-outcome divergence

Definition

Mechanism

Cognitive analysis of the divergence between intended Decision and actual Outcome. Examines why reality differed from intent: external factors, execution errors, model misspecification, or unforeseen consequences. Essential for learning and calibration.

Preconditions

  1. Decision was made with explicit intent
  2. Outcome is observable and measurable

Postconditions

  1. Gap analysis produced
  2. Learning opportunities identified

Invariants

  1. Analysis separates decision quality from outcome luck
  2. Causal attribution must be evidence-based

Risks

Failure modes

  1. Hindsight Bias

    Judging past decisions by outcomes rather than information available at decision time.

  2. Attribution Error

    Blaming external factors when internal errors caused the gap.

Relationships

Builds on

References

Infrastructure

Decision

Irrevocable selection from a set of options

Infrastructure

Outcome

Realized state after an action, captured for Plan-vs-reality comparison

Used by

References

Coursecandor

Admit a mistaken direction, say what showed it, and set a check others can use on the correction

Reference

Identity

Ref
IntentGap#0c14
Sema ID
sema:IntentGap#mh:SHA-256:0c14e83c328756592d5d0d2e690522c3589d33778ce38871cbcaf594f8dd679f
Ring
2
Tier
2
Updated
2026-11-11
Supersedes
  • sema:IntentGap#mh:SHA-256:5dc4af64c8178e975cb7d6c1325132b7af673a69e445a37f9dc1e4aa8565ef14
  • sema:IntentGap#mh:SHA-256:98b23d5faa3bb1d941a148b9c7596f6725f1b70d3447ee247243944e75114e13
  • sema:IntentGap#mh:SHA-256:5248808e441eab02fd0fbc6ae41abca66c3c66e7883d3f623d2f1a802b3e1cd1