Infrastructure · Data Structures

Hypothesis

Testable prediction staged for falsification attempts — provisional, not asserted

Definition

Mechanism

A testable prediction staged for falsification attempts. Distinct from a Claim (asserted as true), an Assumption (held provisionally to make progress), and an Axiom (accepted without proof): a Hypothesis carries an explicit commitment to be checked against evidence and updated or discarded accordingly.

Invariants

  1. Names at least one observation that, if made, would tell against it.
  2. Evidence can falsify or corroborate a Hypothesis, never establish it.

Risks

Failure modes

None stated.

Relationships

Root pattern: builds on nothing in this library.

Used by

References

Mind

Abduction

Inference to the best explanation — provisional, ranked by simplicity/scope/coherence

Mind

Callshort

A perceived shortfall in the thinking a situation calls for, read as unwilling, unable, or deliberately undeclared

NegativeProof

Proving non-membership in a committed state snapshot

Reference

Data schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "required": [
    "proposition",
    "status"
  ],
  "properties": {
    "proposition": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "The tentative explanation"
    },
    "confidence": {
      "type": "number",
      "description": "Initial probability estimate (0-1)"
    },
    "status": {
      "type": "string",
      "enum": [
        "Open",
        "Corroborated",
        "Falsified"
      ],
      "description": "Standing against evidence. No Proven state: surviving falsification attempts corroborates a hypothesis, it does not establish it."
    }
  }
}

Identity

Ref
Hypothesis#0989
Sema ID
sema:Hypothesis#mh:SHA-256:09894332330937ab8ffd172087883db3adeddf6b7d4ca2befe31832416dedc14
Ring
0
Tier
1
Updated
2026-11-11
Supersedes
  • sema:Hypothesis#mh:SHA-256:e95b94f3066236d1b543330c46d177a5e2e590ea5bdd97953f589226a9f11812
  • sema:Hypothesis#mh:SHA-256:e13b827d9dea5d37bc7431cd20aee5acd49c69e15bf7660a0d563f741ba3fd71