{
  "handle": "Probability",
  "mechanism": "A measure of likelihood on [0,1] expressing the degree of belief or frequency with which an {{event}} is expected to occur. Forms the basis for risk assessment, decision-making under uncertainty, and Bayesian updating.",
  "gloss": "Likelihood measure for uncertain events",
  "invariants": [
    "Bounded: 0 ≤ P ≤ 1",
    "Normalization: P(certain) = 1, P(impossible) = 0",
    "Additivity: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) for mutually exclusive events"
  ],
  "_meta": {
    "tier": 1,
    "ring": 0,
    "path": [
      "Infrastructure",
      "Data Structures"
    ],
    "supersedes": [
      "sema:Probability#mh:SHA-256:850f439bbe870068f2129226975bb980e6714af43e55295a5b9dff7fed40f133"
    ]
  },
  "data_schema": {
    "type": "number",
    "minimum": 0,
    "maximum": 1,
    "description": "Probability value between 0 and 1"
  },
  "sema_ref": "Probability#d165",
  "sema_id": "sema:Probability#mh:SHA-256:d16533629fc1edf3af11e947ff110077d224eae3176315e57732652ea8072102",
  "sema_stub": "d165",
  "dependencies": {
    "references": {
      "event": "sema:Event#mh:SHA-256:36757bd8344e1fd7161bd2f23d6588180fbaaf9cff5ef8be8a205effbf4438b6"
    }
  },
  "sema_layer": "Infrastructure",
  "sema_category": "Data Structures",
  "used_by": {
    "references": {
      "Risk": "sema:Risk#mh:SHA-256:e7f601ff0058d606ea87ab5f196f78f469a3133f8324617ff8a25d8072422e91"
    }
  }
}